It’s All About the Numbers in Real Estate Investing

When it comes to real estate investing, it is really nothing more than being all about the numbers,  identifying the right property is only the first step. One of the most crucial decisions you’ll make is determining the Maximum Allowable Offer (MAO) for that property. The MAO is a formula used by investors to calculate the highest price they should offer on a property to ensure a profitable investment. By using the MAO, you can quickly determine if a property is worth pursuing or if you should move on to the next opportunity. Let’s dive into why calculating the MAO is essential and explore some best practices for ensuring your investment decisions are based on solid numbers and not emotions.

The Importance of Calculating the Maximum Allowable Offer (MAO)

The MAO formula helps you determine the highest price you can pay for a property while still achieving your desired profit margin. The formula typically looks like this:

MAO = (ARV x Discount Percentage) – Rehab Costs

ARV (After Repair Value): The estimated market value of the property after all repairs and renovations are completed.

Discount Percentage: A margin of safety (often between 70-75%) to cover unforeseen costs and ensure a profit.

Rehab Costs: The total estimated cost to repair and renovate the property to bring it to market standards.

By using this formula, you can quickly determine if a property is priced correctly and worth pursuing. This approach ensures you don’t overpay and allows you to make informed, data-driven decisions.

What is the 70% Rule in Real Estate Investing?

The 70% rule is a strategic guideline embraced by savvy real estate investors to identify profitable deals and prevent overpaying for properties. This rule advises investors to spend no more than 70% of a property’s After Repair Value (ARV), once repair costs are deducted.

Why is the 70% Rule Important?

  • Profit Maximization: By adhering to this rule, investors aim to secure a healthy profit margin after all expenses.
  • Risk Management: It provides a cushion against unpredictable expenses, market shifts, or valuation errors, minimizing financial risks.
  • Decision-Making Tool: Simplifies the evaluation process, allowing investors to quickly assess whether a property is worth pursuing.

How is it Calculated?

To apply the 70% rule, convert it to a decimal—0.7—and plug it into the Maximum Allowable Offer (MAO) formula. Here’s how it works:

  1. Determine the ARV – Estimate the property’s value after renovations.
  2. Calculate Repair Costs – Account for all costs to restore the property.
  3. Apply the Formula – Multiply the ARV by 0.7, then subtract repair costs to find the maximum price you’re willing to pay.

This approach ensures that your investment aligns with your profit targets while mitigating the risk of unexpected losses. By sticking to the 70% rule, investors can make informed, strategic decisions that boost their chances of success in the real estate market.

Absolutely, the 70% rule is not set in stone and can certainly be adjusted to fit individual circumstances.

Reasons to Adjust the Rule

  • Flexibility in Profit Margins: Depending on your financial situation, you might have more or less leeway in adjusting profit margins. For some investors, a tighter margin is necessary; others may afford a wider margin.
  • Property Condition & Costs: Before settling on a specific percentage, conduct a thorough assessment of the property’s condition. Consider all potential costs that could impact your final profit.
  • Market Conditions: The dynamics of local real estate markets often necessitate a customized approach. High-demand areas might warrant a different strategy than those with slower sales.

Steps to Take

  1. Perform a Personal Analysis: Review the property thoroughly alongside hypothetical expenses to understand how these factors affect the applicability of the 70% rule.
  2. Consult Professionals: Engaging with real estate experts or analysts can help tailor the rule more precisely to your needs, ensuring you’re making informed decisions.

In summary, while the 70% rule provides a useful guideline, individual assessment and professional advice can help you decide the most suitable adjustment for your unique situation.

Understanding After-Repair Value (ARV) and Its Calculation

After-repair value (ARV) refers to the projected worth of a real estate property after renovations and upgrades are completed. It’s a crucial figure for both investors and homeowners who aim to flip properties for a profit or refinance for better terms.

How is ARV Calculated?

  1. Analyze Comparable Sales:
    • Start by identifying properties in the same neighborhood that are similar in size, style, and condition.
    • These properties should have been sold recently to ensure accurate comparison with the current market trends.
  2. Evaluate Property Details:
    • Take into account the location, condition, and amenities of your property in relation to the comparable sales.
    • Consider factors such as square footage, number of bedrooms and bathrooms, and other unique features.
  3. Calculate the Average or Median Sale Price:
    • From the list of comparable properties, derive the average or median sale price. This gives a fair estimation reflecting market conditions and property characteristics.
  4. Adjust for Differences:
    • Tweak the value based on any standout features or deficiencies your property might have compared to the comps. This might include additional amenities or extra repairs needed.

Considering these factors helps you establish a realistic ARV, which serves as a key indicator for potential profitability post-renovation. Properly determining this value is essential as it influences investment decisions and financing options.

Take Your Time and Double-Check Your Numbers

Once you’ve identified a potential property, it’s essential to take your time and double-check all your numbers. The real estate market can be fast-paced, but rushing can lead to costly mistakes. Ensure that your ARV is accurate by consulting with a realtor who is knowledgeable about the local market. A realtor can provide you with comparable sales data (comps) to help verify the ARV. Additionally, make sure to factor in all potential costs, including closing costs, holding costs, and unexpected repairs, which can significantly impact your profit margin.

Understanding Fixed Costs in Real Estate Investment

In real estate investment, “fixed costs” are those expenses that remain constant regardless of the property’s day-to-day operations or occupancy levels. These costs are crucial to consider when calculating potential returns on investment.

Key Elements of Fixed Costs:

  1. Closing Costs: These are fees paid at the closing of a real estate transaction. They typically include costs for the title search, attorney fees, and loan origination charges.
  2. Real Estate Commissions: When buying or selling a property, commissions are paid to the real estate agents involved. This is usually a percentage of the property’s selling price.
  3. Insurance: Property insurance is a must to protect your investment against unforeseen events such as theft, fire, or natural disasters.
  4. Property Taxes: Local governments impose property taxes based on the value of the land and any buildings on it. This is a non-negotiable, recurring expense that investors must account for.

By accurately estimating these costs, investors can insert them into calculations like the Maximum Allowable Offer (MAO) formula, which helps determine a feasible price for investment properties. Understanding fixed costs is essential for creating a realistic budget and ensuring profitability in real estate ventures.

Collaborate with a Realtor to Determine the ARV

A realtor is an invaluable resource when determining the ARV of a property. They have access to the most recent sales data and can provide you with a Comparative Market Analysis (CMA). This analysis will help you understand the property’s potential value after renovations, based on similar properties in the area. Make sure the comps you’re using are recent, similar in size and condition, and within a close proximity to the property in question. This ensures you’re basing your ARV on the most accurate and relevant data.

Verify Rehab Costs with Your Contractor

– Rehab Costs: The total estimated cost to repair and renovate the property to bring it to market standards. When calculating these costs, it’s important to consider both minor and major improvements. For instance, you might need to handle straightforward tasks like painting rooms or tackle more substantial projects, such as a full bathroom remodel. One of the biggest mistakes investors make is underestimating rehab costs. Always get a detailed estimate from a trusted contractor before making an offer. Don’t rely on rough estimates or what others might tell you—the numbers need to come from someone who understands the scope of work involved. To get a clear picture of these expenses, it’s advisable to seek estimates from local contractors. This can be done after a thorough property inspection, ensuring you have a realistic understanding of what the repairs will entail financially. By accurately estimating these costs, you can better determine the maximum allowable offer (MAO) for the property, aligning your investment strategy with market expectations.

Keep Emotion Out of Your Buying Decision

Real estate investing should always be approached with a clear, logical mindset. It can be easy to become emotionally attached to a property, especially if you’ve already spent time and resources on it. However, if the numbers don’t make sense, you need to be prepared to walk away. Emotional decisions can lead to overpaying or underestimating costs, both of which can erode your profit margin. Stick to your MAO and be disciplined in your decision-making process. Remember, there will always be another deal; don’t compromise your financial goals for the sake of a single property.

Ready to Invest? Partner with Preferred Capital Investors!

Once you’ve identified a property that fits your investment criteria and the numbers align with your MAO, it’s time to act! At Preferred Capital Investors, we specialize in providing tailored loan solutions for real estate investors. Our team of experts is here to help you secure the financing you need to close your next deal. Don’t let financing be a hurdle in your path to real estate success. Contact us today to get your loan started and take the next step toward building your investment portfolio!

By following these guidelines, you can ensure that each property you invest in has the potential to deliver the returns you expect. Remember, successful investing is about making informed, unemotional decisions based on solid data. So, take your time, do your homework, and always stick to your MAO. Always remember, it’s all about the numbers!